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Sunday, November 12, 2006

Southwell 3:30 (13th Nov 2006)

1m 3f - southwell-racecourse.co.uk Handicap (Class 2)

A tantalising handicap for a Monday. With some runners having more questions than answers lets use a process of elimination

St Savarin – Not likely. 3 for 22 beyond 7 furlongs the RP spotlight writers have made the mistake of thinking that polytrack and fibresand form are one and the same. All-weather sire progeny statistics of 8 fromm 113 speak otherwise.

Bann– Not likely. Recently gelded, using “Mel Maxims” one to oppose after poor showing last time out.

Lake Poet – Possible. Handicapper has given him chance but sired by Galileo out of Sadler's Wells progeny statistics (5-54) indicate that he wont like this surface much. Poor trainer course stats is a concern also.

Credit – All Weather debutant. The “rag” as Big Mac will say

Bobby Charles – Interesting! His trainer entered 5 horses in total in the race and he was the only one that remained after the declarations stage. Well handicapped and “form” on the surface one to consider from a trainer that has done well at Southwell. Runs well fresh.

Heathyards Pride – even though this is a step up in class equally effective on fibresand and polytrack.


Being bold will select Bobby Charles with Heathyards Pride to chase him home.. final decision will be made tomorrow..

2 Comments:

At Monday, November 13, 2006 12:55:00 pm, Blogger Slipperytoad said...

No bet race after inputs from my mentor. Also as a rule I dont bet on Mondays as strange things seem to happen during racing "if you know what I mean.."

 
At Monday, November 13, 2006 5:50:00 pm, Blogger Slipperytoad said...

St Savarin won. Handicapping processing error on my part. Missed/overlooked the 2nd place of St Savarin at Southwell(6/9/06 Betfair Com Handicap Stakes)so obviously sire A/W stats should have been thrown out of the window.

Nothing lost in terms of money though. Phew..

 

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