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Sunday, November 21, 2004

Plumpton - 2:30 (21 Nov 2004)

Sky Bet Sussex National (A Handicap Chase) (Class C) (5yo+,0-130) 3m5f

Course Description
Left handed, tight undulating, sharp track, this course favours nimble front running types that have stamina to cope with sharp gradients. A definite “horses for courses” feel to this track

Analysis
I mentioned in my betting methodology, as a rule I do not bet on Sundays (and not for religious reasons). However as this event is one of the principle meetings of the year and prize money of £18,061.20 on offer, a slipperytoad attack is warranted.

French Executive has the feel a horse that can lift first prize. He is suited to both course (60% strike rate) and distance and is top rated on chase form and speed ratings for this track. The only doubts are that he is steeping up in grade and the comments of the trainer

[Courtesy of Racing Post]
"We saved him for this race after he won there last time. He quite likes the track and he's won over three-and-a-half at Stratford before. He's in good form but there's a few in with a squeak." Paul Nicholls, trainer of French Executive

The other dangers are Radcliff and Garolsa and both have course experience in their favour. Again both horses are making taking a step up in grade and both are behind French Executive on speed ratings.

As rule I don’t like backing favourites but given the fact that this course favours specialists and the comment of the trainer, the vote goes to French Executive
.

1 Comments:

At Monday, November 22, 2004 6:37:00 pm, Blogger Slipperytoad said...

French Executive wins by 4 lengths at odds of 6-1

Racing Post Comments

FRENCH EXECUTIVE(1) enhanced his already fine record here by making the Sussex National his fourth win from five visits and he did it in style, travelling cosily under a patient ride and quickly asserting when his jockey gave him the office before the second-last. The nine-year-old was 7lb higher than when scoring over a shorter trip last month but his supporters could be forgiven for counting their winnings early on the final circuit by Paddy Brennan sent him on the march in pursuit of Radcliffe. Brennan felt the good to soft conditions were ideal for French Executive who looks set for a fair hike in the ratings.

 

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