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Thursday, February 09, 2006

Southwell - 3:30 (9th Feb 2005)

7f - Littlewoods Pools Billions Won By Millions Handicap (Class 2) 4yo+

Contender: Cardinal Venture
Up for Consideration: Cummiskey, Rampage

9/2 Cardinal Venture, 11/2 Rampage, 4/1 Cummiskey 9/1 bar

An interesting race given that a number of contestants are technically out of the handicap.

As approx. 50% of my tissue is digested by three horses, these will be the centre of attention.

Cummiskey is stepping up in distance after recent win in a grade 2 conditions event. Typically the form from these races does not pan out. Breeding suggests that he may find this trip more demanding. If you read between the lines of his trainer after the race

“There were lots and ifs and buts over running off 9st 8lb and this has probably shafted his handicap mark but horses like him don’t get many chances to win £12-£13,000 for their owners and you can’t have it both ways. - Jamie Osborne, trainer”

And the racing post comments

“The handicapper will not take kindly to this improved effort but, as his trainer suggested, he was picking up a £20,000 event.”

And given that he has gone up 6lbs and carries a 6lbs penalty, there are too many negatives for a confident selection.

Rampage is totally exposed at this grade, however his jockey 1/7/50 course record (win/place/ran) does not inspire confidence either.

Cardinal Venture it is! Won this race last year off 2lb higher BHB rating. Drops back to his preferred distance, loves to dominate and pace figures suggest that he will get an uncontested lead, goes well for jockey, A Mullen. Goes well here at Southwell (2 wins from 4 starts), nuff said!

1 Comments:

At Tuesday, March 07, 2006 5:29:00 pm, Blogger Slipperytoad said...

Racing Post Comments

A competitive race for this good prize, and a good finish with SPEED DIAL HARRY, who has been running well over a mile recently, finishing strongly from off the pace to record his third win of the year. On this evidence, he is still very much on the upgrade.

Wessex, second to Cummiskey over 6f here last week, found this trip more to his liking and was able to reverse placings with Cummiskey, and confirm it with Rafferty and Pawan, a well-exposed pair who are very difficult to win with these days.

Cummiskey did not have the best of luck in running on this occasion and may be counted a shade unlucky, but he has looked a tricky customer in the past and it could prove a mistake to chase losses on him - especially as he is due to go up 9lb from tomorrow.

Rampage, a lightly-raced sort who has gone well when fresh in the past, was disappointing on this first outing in over three months, being unable to sustain her challenge in the straight, while the in-decline Te Quiero wasleft behind when things got serious from 2f out.

 

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