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Wednesday, April 11, 2007

Leicester 5:40 - levy board handicap (12 Apr 2007)

First race under the new regime, most of the runners can be eliminated due to poor form.

4/1 Cool Panic, 5/1 Phluke, 8/1 Master Pegasus, Barons Spy, 12/1 Spirit Of Arosa, 20/1 Give Me The Night

Closer to the off I’ll be looking to spot play Cool Panic who drops in class and has a positive jockey switch. The 236 day course absence should not inconvenience.

Favourites have a positive expectation here at Leicester so the unexposed Sound Of Nature should run well if you follow the market. However, maiden winners first time in handicaps? A bookmakers dream and I’ll be looking to play an exotic without him being placed in the frame.

On the other side of the draw, the prominent running and well handicapped Phluke switches to a surface he likes and should bounce back from a disappointing effort on the sand.

Master Pegasus and Spirit Of Arosa are unexposed and should be competitive if they can overcome their long course absences. Barons Spy returns to his favoured course but might be out classed in this company. Give Me The Night rates highly and if running well maybe one to watch when dropping back in trip and grade.


Prices near the off will determine final selections.

2 Comments:

At Thursday, April 12, 2007 5:22:00 pm, Blogger Slipperytoad said...

Cool Panic and Barons Spy, non runners in the race. I wont adjust my odds line and my decision is simple.. no bet..

 
At Thursday, April 12, 2007 6:01:00 pm, Blogger Slipperytoad said...

Phew.. dodged a bullet there by almost betting against a legitimate favourite.

 

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